thoughts on the future of Israel

1. The Arabs only need to defeat Israel once. Israel has to beat them every time. No country goes undefeated forever. Even the mighty British lost to Afghanistan and the US, which lost to Vietnam and Afghanistan. China lost to many countries during the Boxer Rebellion and later lost to Vietnam. Russia lost to Japan, then Germany in WW1, and later Afghanistan. Likewise, France, Germany, and Japan have lost major wars. 

2. US support for Israel with steadily wane as its demographics change and whites become a minority. American support for Israel mainly comes from American Jews and white evangelicals. 

3. If Israel stops building settlements and lifts the blockade of Gaza, there is a chance for lasting peace, or at least a long lull in the fighting.

4. Israel will always be surrounded by enemies. Its only hope for survival is to be self-sufficient and turn itself into a fortress. 

5. International pressure ended apartheid in South Africa, and it could lead to a radical change in Israel's government.

6. Israel can't get lasting peace by annihilating its enemies or even soundly defeating them. The only reason there has been peace between Israel and Egypt is because Egypt recaptured the Sinai and inflicted heavy losses on Israel in 1973.  

7. If Israel gets invaded and occupied, they will have to fight their way out with guerilla warfare as Vietnam and Afghanistan have done multiple times.