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Friday, October 24, 2025

More thoughts on the war in Ukraine

I've been monitoring livemap for a while now.

https://liveuamap.com/


Ukraine is holding the line, but they can't do it forever without more soldiers, money, and weapons. Note that Ukraine is not on the offensive anywhere. 

The Russians switched to a Fabian strategy early on. It's basically the same strategy the Taliban used against the US for 20 years. 

The fighting won't stop until:

1) Ukraine gets security guarantees from Russia and NATO. 

2) Ukraine formally cedes the territory already occupied by Russia.

3) Ukraine agrees not to join the European Union or NATO

It's basically Finlandization. 


***
Finlandization (Finnish: suomettuminen) is the process by which one powerful country makes a smaller neighboring country refrain from opposing the former's foreign policy rules, while allowing it to keep its nominal independence and its own political system. The term means "to become like Finland", referring to the influence of the Soviet Union on Finland's policies during the Cold War.
***

This is what happens when Sweden and Finland joined NATO. 

Here are visual aids I made to explain Russia's mood:




And here it is in the form of song:



Fun fact, I listened to that song so many times as a teen my parents thought I'd been brainwashed into being a communist. Whoever did my background check for NSA evidently never found out about it. Also, I'm not a communist. Or a Russian spy, etc. 













I volunteered for the Ukrainian International Legion in 2022 but never got a response. My own sister pressured me to join because of my combat training, language skills, and experiences in Africa. 


Respect makes empires fall. It's not my fault that Ukraine and its allies stocked up on drones instead of rocket artillery and cannon shells. 


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